Hope everyone in areas where severe weather is forecasted
2 years ago
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NWS Long Range Weather Forecast as of 9/15
Comments (2)Looks like more of the same thing we've had the last 12 months, warm and dry. Much of Alpine TX is looking at 1-2 inches ppt in the last 12 months and consistently above normal temperature. Half our rain has come in the last 4 days. The next year may be dry but is unlikely to be as dry as the last year. I'd guess at least 30-50% of normal ppt rather than 10%....See MoreHigh Risk Areas-Severe Weather-TorCon=9
Comments (2)The NWS has issued a Tornado Watch for McCurtain County in SE OK through 10 p.m. Many counties in adjacent areas of Texas and Arkansas are under a Tornado Watch as well. The Tornado Watch is in effect through 10 p.m. If you are in an Oklahoma county along the Red River running from Jefferson County in the west all the way east to McCurtain County, be advised the Texas counties adjacent to you are included in the Tornado Watch so be sure to be especially vigilant as severe weather could develop very close to you. You can click on any county on the map below to see the forecast and read the text of any watches, warnings or advisories. Dawn Here is a link that might be useful: Webpage of Tulsa Office of the NWS...See MoreMonday's Severe TStorm/Tornado Forecast
Comments (8)Suzie, You know me and the weather...I watch it like a hawk all the time. Glad the info is helpful. I try to post a heads-up if I am home near a computer. Some people, like Diane (Owiebrain) are in remote areas where the NOAA Weather Radio alert can't reach them consistently, if at all, so I am always especially watchful for storms moving towards those folks. I've been out in the garden, attempting to harvest sugar snaps and I say "attempting" because the wind has picked up in the last hour and is giving the peas and their trellis a thorough shaking. They are waving back and forth, dancing on the wind. It makes picking peas a bit challenging. Down here in southern OK it was a very cool morning, and then around 10 a.m. or so it was like someone flipped a switch. Our dew point has gone up 5 points in a couple of hours is now is at 68. That's bad, and if dewpoints hit the 70s, that's very, very bad. Y'all be careful up there. The NOAA weather radio is cautioning that the storms likely will be hitting OKC during afternoon rush hour, and that's just the worst possible time. I know many of you are well-experienced in dealing with weather like this and do think sometimes you intuitively 'feel' it coming once you've experienced that odd feeling in the air. If you watch The Weather Channel and have followed this year's usage of Dr. Forbe's TorCon Index, y'all should know he's giving NE OK an 8 on a scale of 1-10. That's just about the highest chance of tornadic development conditions he ever gives anyone. I think he gave one area a 9 week before last and they got hit pretty hard by storms. I have that uneasy feeling in my bones, but more for y'all up there than us down here. I think the KS-OK state line area may be in the bullseye, and Kansas and Missouri are in just as much danger as northeastern and eastern OK. Dawn...See MoreSunday's Severe Weather Forecast
Comments (6)Reed, I feel sorry for Tulsa. This morning Dr. Forbes distinctly mentioned Tulsa having a '7' TorCon more than he mentioned OKC, though at one point he said the storms would form near OKC and move towards Tulsa. The issue will be how violent they are when they form...even if they form in the OKC area, they could be violent from the start or they might gain in strength as discrete cells merge together into a squall line. I think today I wouldn't want to be in Iowa either. We have crazy wind here today. I guess it must be from outflow boundaries from yesterday's storms. I have gigantic trees north of my garden and they were dancing back and forth in the wind so much that it was scaring me and I came inside to get away from them. If a tree is going to fall on my garden, it needs to do it while I am not in the garden. Wulfleton, I am sorry you're feeling homesick. Count your blessings every single day because you do have a lot to be grateful for. Oklahoma has beautiful weather in April and October. The rest of the year we just cringe, hold our breath and hope for the best. The good thing is that once you have learned how to successfully garden in OK, you can garden anywhere. Today's weather likely won't turn out to be nothing, but maybe we'll luck out and the worst storms will hit sparsely populated areas so at least fewer people are harmed that way. Dawn...See More- 2 years ago
- 2 years ago
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