Fed raising interest rate?
9 years ago
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We've reached interest-rate bedrock
Comments (5)I agree that "how much am I making now" and "how confident do I feel about the future" are important but I also believe that interest rates impact those decisions. Up until recently the Fed used interest rate manipulation as the main tool to spur the economy or ward off inflation. Housing is one of the industries that is most directly tied to interest rates. If rates go down housing becomes immediately cheaper and spurs demand which increases prices. You can argue that the other factors are more important than interest rates but lowering the interest rates also affects those factors. Someone who has a high interest loan may now be able to refinance and have more money available for additional purchases. It also gives business a lower cost of capital for which they can use to expand to meet the increased demand for goods from consumers. Expanding causes more people to be hired and generally improves salaries and confidence in the future. Sooner or later the fed is going to have to raise the interest rates. When that happens it will have a negative effect on the economy as a whole including housing prices. But since housing prices are not only affected by the indirect forces of the raised interest rates but also by the direct cost increase to consumers, they will likely suffer more than the economy as a whole....See MoreTaking Bets: Will Fed Raise or Lower Rates?
Comments (2)Taking a clue from the bond markets(inverted yield curve), I would think that the FOMC would be on hold for now. Investors have been thinking that the fed will do one thing, even after he says otherwise. I remember back in early May, Bernanke mentioned during a weekend dinner, that investors might have misinerpreted him about rates. The following Monday, Bartiromo reitterated this, and the markets sold off. Three days later, MAY 10th, the markets hit a high (for that time) until investors pondered what the word "yet" meant in the FOMC's comments. A week later, when an inflationary CPI came out, the markets sold off severely. A few weeks after that, another inflationary CPI came out, and the markets didn't care. There's no rhyme or reason in today's markets. Me? I'm expecting a 10% correction in the markets in January. The time to have bought was back in July, with DIA at 107, and not now with DIA at 123. Unfortunately, many institutional investors got caught sitting in cash in August/September, and overpaid for equities later on. Now they're calling them "bargains" hoping that the retail investors come in now and drive the prices up. They did the same thing with GOOG, "warning" retail investors not to buy at the IPO price of $85. Now people are told to buy GOOG at $480. Yeah, right!...See MoreAdvice for young couple?
Comments (38)Matty78.... Oh, those mortgage companies. Listen up...my partner is 25,000 in CC debt, with 50K salary...and all that the mortgage company considered is the amount of his total minimum payments. Not the debt itself. Just because he made his payments on time, and was a first time buyer, they were willing to give him 205K to buy his first house. Being a first time buyer, you can purchase a home for little, if no...money down. A thousand in earnest money, plus a couple thousand for closing and escrow...depending on the amount of the home you are considering purchasing. It all sounds great, if you listen to your mortgage broker. But seriously...could you afford the note on a 190K house, and keep it maintained? Your 5K will evaporate with closing costs, and little things that you'll need for your new home that will add up quickly. If you nor your husband are handyman types, then think about the costs of having a plumber/electrician/carpenter...the costs of labor these days is about 2/3's of the cost of an improvement to a home. And when it's a necessity...like a burst hot water heater...you're going to add to your credit card debt? I'm 53, and own three homes outright. How did I do this? By buying homes that were sitting on the market for a good while, then researching the tax assessor's records, and contacting the owners with a reduced offer. I'm pretty good at fixing stuff, so I knew that my talents would probably be put to use. And that I'd suffer a bit of misery before the property became rentable or saleable. Wait. Pay off that 25K. Then, study your market. Get on a real estate agent's list that works with bank owned properties. When you see one that is going at 50% of the comparable properties around it, pick it up after viewing it. You won't be able to lose. And above all, should you just buy a home (AFTER PAYING OFF YOUR DEBT...YOU NEED TO HAVE DISCIPLINE TO OWN PROPERTY...OR YOU'LL BE ONE OF MY FORECLOSURE BIDS...) get a 30 year mortgage that allows you prepayments on the principal. I paid off one of my houses in eight years, the other at 11, and just paid for this last one in 12. My strategy for having income that didn't require depending on a corporate structure or a boss that had a soul required a lot of dirty work, and a lot of lessons learned. Real Estate investment, whether for a personal home, or for investment property... is a long, slow, methodical accumulation of wealth..while you're dealing with maintenance issues you never thought would arise. Don't jump into it until you have your 'house' in order....See MoreArticle on Interest rate cut/lending/housing prices
Comments (4)I've seen that article in several places, one is below. IMO any bailout should be limited to individials or companies who were actually defrauded in some way. I do not believe in government bailing out individuals OR businesses who acted irresponsibly. Mark my words though, any bailout will be promoted as if it's "for Americans to hold onto the dream of homeownership," but in reality it will help shady businesses continue their shady practices, (the stuff that caused this problem in the first place). I find it almost disgusting that people who pushed these bad loans on unqualified buyers shunned regulation or law enforcement attempts, and now they want the government to get involved. Tax payers would not really notice the relatively low cost of helping true victims of fraud, but we will all notice the much higher cost of enabling crooks to continue. Here is a link that might be useful: Article...See More- 9 years agolast modified: 9 years ago
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